Flawed Predictions

by: Author Unknown,

Failed Technology Predictions

Throughout history man has been making predictions of the future. With the

advent of technology, the predictions moved away from religious topics to

scientific and technological. Unfortunately for the speakers, many of these

failed predictions have been recorded for all future generations to laugh at

Here is a selection of the best.

"When the Paris Exhibition [of 1878] closes, electric light will close with

it and no more will be heard of it." - Oxford professor Erasmus Wilson

"Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to

breathe, would die of asphyxia." - Dr Dionysys Larder (1793-1859), professor

of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy, University College London.

"[Television] won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the

first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box

every night." - Darryl Zanuck, movie producer, 20th Century Fox, 1946.

"Home Taping Is Killing Music" - A 1980s campaign by the BPI, claiming that

people recording music off the radio onto cassette would destroy the music

industry.

"Fooling around with alternating current is just a waste of time. Nobody

will use it, ever." - Thomas Edison, American inventor, 1889 (Edison often

ridiculed the arguments of competitor George Westinghouse for AC power).

"How, sir, would you make a ship sail against the wind and currents by

lighting a bonfire under her deck? I pray you, excuse me, I have not the

time to listen to such nonsense." - Napoleon Bonaparte, when told of Robert

Fulton's steamboat, 1800s.

"The idea that cavalry will be replaced by these iron coaches is absurd. It

is little short of treasonous." - Comment of Aide-de-camp to Field Marshal

Haig, at tank demonstration, 1916.

"X-rays will prove to be a hoax." - Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal

Society, 1883.

"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a

means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us." - Amemo at Western Union, 1878 (or 1876).

"The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of

messenger boys." - Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer, British Post Office,1878.

"The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty - a fad." -The president of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford's lawyer,Horace Rackham, not to invest in the Ford Motor Co., 1903

"There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be

obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will."- Albert Einstein, 1932

"There will never be a bigger plane built." - A Boeing engineer, after the

first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people

"A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth's atmosphere." - New York

Times, 1936.

"We will never make a 32 bit operating system." - Bill Gates

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." - Ken Olson

president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp. (DEC), maker of

big business mainframe computers, arguing against the PC in 1977.